{"id":1557,"date":"2020-03-17T15:29:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-17T20:29:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.usmineralexchange.com\/blog\/?p=1557"},"modified":"2024-05-17T03:32:11","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T08:32:11","slug":"coronavirus-impact-on-mineral-rights","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.usmineralexchange.com\/blog\/industry-news\/coronavirus-impact-on-mineral-rights\/","title":{"rendered":"Coronavirus Impact on Mineral Rights"},"content":{"rendered":"

Coronavirus Impact on Oil and Gas Demand<\/h2><\/div>

The biggest near term impact on that Coronavirus has on mineral rights is in the demand for oil and gas.\u00a0 As a mineral owner, the amount that you get each month from oil and gas royalties is tied to the current price of oil and gas.\u00a0 While natural gas prices have remained generally stable, the price of oil has plummeted by over\u00a054% year to date<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n

We would like to repeat that again because it is important, oil prices have dropped 54% year to date as of this writing.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Coronavirus has had a devastating effect on oil and gas demand.\u00a0\u00a0 As the Coronavirus has spread around the world, many countries are restricting travel and requiring everyone to stay inside.\u00a0\u00a0 Many companies are choosing, or being forced, to allow their employees to work from home.\u00a0 Large industries like the cruise lines have effectively stopped operating. \u00a0 A very large amount of oil demand comes from global travel for both business and leisure.\u00a0 Another very large part of oil demand comes from commuting to and from work and school.\u00a0\u00a0 As those activities get shut down the demand for oil drops accordingly.<\/p>\n

Mineral rights owners will be negatively effected due to decreasing worldwide demand for oil.\u00a0\u00a0 You will see the direct impact of Coronavirus on your royalty income.\u00a0\u00a0 As oil prices decline the amount you receive in royalty checks will go down accordingly.<\/p>\n

The question now becomes when will Coronavirus stop impacting mineral owners.\u00a0 Until world wide demand goes back up as people get back to work you can expect a negative impact for mineral owners.\u00a0\u00a0 Once travel restrictions are lifted and people start going back to work we will see oil demand increase.\u00a0 This should help support oil prices going forward.<\/p>\n<\/div>

Russia and Saudi Arabia Impact on Oil Supply<\/h2><\/div>

In addition to the impact of Coronavirus on oil and gas demand, we are also seeing issues on the supply side.\u00a0 In\u00a0recent meetings between Russia and Saudi Arabia<\/a>, they could not come to an agreement to keep oil supply low.\u00a0 Without getting into the politics of the situation, this means that Russia and Saudi Arabia have now decided to pump as much oil as possible.\u00a0 Each are doing so to protect their market share of global oil supply.\u00a0 By pumping as much oil as possible, we are\u00a0increasing supply<\/strong>\u00a0of oil around the world at exactly the same time that we have\u00a0decreasing demand<\/strong>\u00a0for oil.<\/p>\n

This is very bad for oil prices.<\/p>\n

For a long period of time OPEC has effectively controlled the supply of oil in the world market.\u00a0 As that relationship breaks down, the market will continue to be flooded with oil until the issue is resolved.\u00a0 It is currently unknown when Russia or Saudi Arabia might pull back on supply.\u00a0\u00a0 Until they do, we will see lower oil prices due to excess supply.<\/p>\n<\/div>

Coronavirus impact on royalty checks<\/h2><\/div>

The Coronavirus impact on mineral rights owners could be severe.\u00a0 If you are a mineral owner who gets oil and gas royalty income, you will soon start to see the impact of Coronavirus on oil and gas royalty checks.\u00a0\u00a0 Oil and gas operators pay you royalty income on a lag.\u00a0 For example, when you get a check in March of 2020 the income is related to oil that was sold in either January or February of 2020.\u00a0\u00a0 What this means is that today (March 2020), you will not have seen any impact from Coronavirus on your royalty checks.\u00a0\u00a0 However, in April or May you will start to see significant impacts to the value you receive each month.\u00a0\u00a0 As we mentioned above, oil prices have declined 54% year to date so some mineral owners will see a large decrease in royalty income due to Coronavirus.<\/p>\n

While Coronavirus will impact royalty checks for most mineral owners, you may see a decreased effect if your operator passes along the hedged price of oil to you directly.\u00a0 Many oil and gas operators hedge the oil they sell.\u00a0 What this means is that they will \u201clock in\u201d a price of oil for the next year.\u00a0 They do this so that they have a guaranteed price allowing them to plan their capital spend accordingly.\u00a0 Your operator may have hedged 80% of oil produced in 2020 at $50\/barrel and still be getting paid $50\/barrel even as prices are $30\/barrel.\u00a0\u00a0 Some operators will pass this along to you and you will be paid at the hedged rate.<\/p>\n<\/div>

Coronavirus impact on selling mineral rights<\/h2><\/div>

If you are interested in\u00a0selling mineral rights<\/a>\u00a0it is important to understand how Corona virus impacts the sale.\u00a0 We are still seeing strong demand from mineral buyers to\u00a0buy mineral rights<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0 However, the market has dramatically shifted in just a couple of weeks based on the factors listed above.<\/p>\n

Generally speaking, mineral buyers take a long term view when buying mineral rights.\u00a0 Mineral buyers understand that the underlying price of oil will fluctuate.\u00a0 However, the value of oil and gas mineral rights is directly related to the price of oil.\u00a0 If the price of oil materially declines like it has in the last week, this means that mineral buyers must take a more conservative approach to valuing mineral rights.<\/p>\n

Mineral buyers cannot forecast oil prices at $50\/barrel when it is currently trading at $30\/barrel or even $40\/barrel.\u00a0\u00a0 Imagine you are in the market to purchase a rental property.\u00a0\u00a0 You find a property you like which is currently renting out for $1,000\/month.\u00a0\u00a0 However, after talking to the seller they inform you that \u201cI used to rent this for $1,700\/month and I\u2019m sure it will go back to that soon.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Would you pay for the property assuming it was renting at $1,700\/month when it\u2019s only currently renting for $1,000\/month?\u00a0 Of course not!<\/p>\n

Mineral owners every day make this same argument when trying to sell mineral rights.\u00a0 They want to sell mineral rights based on what oil\u00a0might be<\/strong>\u00a0in the future or what it was\u00a0in the past<\/strong>.\u00a0 What matters is the current price of oil today.\u00a0\u00a0 Mineral buyers pay based on what your mineral rights are worth\u00a0today.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>

Selling mineral rights at US Mineral Exchange<\/h2><\/div>

There is no question that Coronavirus is impacting mineral rights.\u00a0\u00a0 If you want to sell mineral rights, finding the best market price available is even more important than ever.\u00a0 Every mineral buyer has a different view of what mineral rights are worth.\u00a0\u00a0 As a mineral owner, your goal is to find the mineral buyer who is willing to pay you the highest price.\u00a0 That is exactly what we do at\u00a0US Mineral Exchange<\/a>.<\/p>\n

We quickly connect you to thousands of qualified mineral buyers.\u00a0 We work to secure the best market price available from a legitimate end buyer.\u00a0 In addition, we walk you through the process from start to finish to ensure everything goes smoothly.<\/p>\n

In these uncertain times, you need a trusted partner who will ensure that you maximize the value when you sell mineral rights.\u00a0 If you are considering selling mineral rights now\u00a0or in the future<\/strong>, please fill out the contact form below.\u00a0 We will get in touch with you and take the time to learn more about your situation and discuss the best way to maximize value on the sale of mineral rights.<\/p>\n<\/div>

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